Politare

Average house price during each first minister's tenure

4 first ministers, ranked by how average house price changed from their first day in office, next to the United Kingdom over the same months. Politare shows what happened during a tenure; it does not claim the office-holder caused it.

Sort by
Tenures
Period
Order
#First ministerCountryIn officeTotalvs UKPer yearChart
1Lab Tony BlairEngland 2 May 1997 – 27 Jun 2007 +228% Apr 1997 → May 2007+30.4 pts UK +198%+12.5%/yr
2Lab Rhodri MorganWales 9 Feb 2000 – 10 Dec 2009 +152% Jan 2000 → Nov 2009+54.6 pts UK +97.3%+9.9%/yr
3Lab Jack McConnellScotland 22 Nov 2001 – 16 May 2007 +148% Oct 2001 → Apr 2007+62.0 pts UK +86.0%+18.0%/yr
4UUP David TrimbleNorthern Ireland 1 Jul 1998 – 1 Jul 2001 +33.6% Jun 1998 → Jun 2001−4.7 pts UK +38.3%+10.1%/yr
5SNP Nicola SturgeonScotland 20 Nov 2014 – 29 Mar 2023 +31.8% Oct 2014 → Feb 2023−14.6 pts UK +46.4%+3.4%/yr
6Lab Mark DrakefordWales 13 Dec 2018 – 20 Mar 2024 +31.4% Nov 2018 → Feb 2024+11.3 pts UK +20.1%+5.3%/yr
7Con David CameronEngland 11 May 2010 – 13 Jul 2016 +29.2% Apr 2010 → Jun 2016+4.0 pts UK +25.2%+4.2%/yr
8Con Boris JohnsonEngland 24 Jul 2019 – 6 Sep 2022 +24.6% Jun 2019 → Aug 2022−0.5 pts UK +25.1%+7.2%/yr
9Lab Carwyn JonesWales 10 Dec 2009 – 13 Dec 2018 +22.1% Nov 2009 → Nov 2018−15.7 pts UK +37.9%+2.2%/yr
10SF Michelle O'NeillNorthern Ireland 3 Feb 2024 – now +19.8% Jan 2024 → Jul 2026+13.3 pts UK +6.5%+7.5%/yr

Showing 10 of 25 tenures.

Sorted by total, highest first. Every row is indexed to the last month complete before the first day in office ("from" marks a start that had to move because that period had no data, or because the period cut it); the United Kingdom is measured over the same months. Levels are per cent changes, rates are differences in %; "per year" compounds levels and divides rates. Tenures with under 12 months, or under three observations, are left out. £, UK House Price Index · HM Land Registry UK House Price Index, average price of all property types · nation data · as of Jul 2026.

Sources: ONS (national accounts, Labour Force Survey, average weekly earnings, CPI, public sector finances; regional GVA, ASHE, population estimates and model-based unemployment via nomis), HM Land Registry UK House Price Index, GISCO, Wikidata, Wikimedia Commons. Every chart is indexed to the office-holder's first day. Correlation is not credit. CreditsPrivacy