Politare

Population during each first minister's tenure

4 first ministers, ranked by how population changed from their first day in office, next to the United Kingdom over the same months. Politare shows what happened during a tenure; it does not claim the office-holder caused it.

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Tenures
Period
Order
#First ministerCountryIn officeTotalvs UKPer yearChart
1Con David CameronEngland 11 May 2010 – 13 Jul 2016 +5.9% 2009 → 2016+0.6 pts UK +5.4%+0.8%/yr
2DUP Peter RobinsonNorthern Ireland 5 Jun 2008 – 11 Jan 2016 +5.3% 2007 → 2015−0.9 pts UK +6.1%+0.6%/yr
3Lab Tony BlairEngland 2 May 1997 – 27 Jun 2007 +5.0% 1996 → 2006+0.5 pts UK +4.6%+0.5%/yr
4Lab Rhodri MorganWales 9 Feb 2000 – 10 Dec 2009 +4.8% 1999 → 2009−1.3 pts UK +6.1%+0.5%/yr
5SNP Alex SalmondScotland 16 May 2007 – 20 Nov 2014 +3.9% 2006 → 2014−2.4 pts UK +6.2%+0.5%/yr
6Lab Mark DrakefordWales 13 Dec 2018 – 20 Mar 2024 +2.6% 2018 → 2023−0.8 pts UK +3.5%+0.5%/yr
7Lab Gordon BrownEngland 27 Jun 2007 – 11 May 2010 +2.4% 2006 → 2009+0.1 pts UK +2.4%+0.8%/yr
8SNP Nicola SturgeonScotland 20 Nov 2014 – 29 Mar 2023 +2.2% 2014 → 2022−2.6 pts UK +4.7%+0.3%/yr
9Con Boris JohnsonEngland 24 Jul 2019 – 6 Sep 2022 +1.7% 2019 → 2022+0.1 pts UK +1.6%+0.6%/yr
10Con Theresa MayEngland 13 Jul 2016 – 24 Jul 2019 +1.7% 2016 → 2019+0.1 pts UK +1.6%+0.6%/yr

Showing 10 of 14 tenures.

Sorted by total, highest first. Every row is indexed to the last count complete before the first day in office ("from" marks a start that had to move because that count had no data, or because the period cut it); the United Kingdom is measured over the same months. Levels are per cent changes, rates are differences in %; "per year" compounds levels and divides rates. Tenures with under 12 months, or under three observations, are left out. thousands, mid-year estimate · ONS mid-year population estimates via nomis (NM_2002_1) · nation data · as of Jul 2026.

Sources: ONS (national accounts, Labour Force Survey, average weekly earnings, CPI, public sector finances; regional GVA, ASHE, population estimates and model-based unemployment via nomis), HM Land Registry UK House Price Index, GISCO, Wikidata, Wikimedia Commons. Every chart is indexed to the office-holder's first day. Correlation is not credit. CreditsPrivacy